The (In) Complete Postal Package

By DataAnalytics
Updated 4/26

“The Senate offered a lifeline to the nearly bankrupt U.S. Postal Service
on Wednesday, voting to give the struggling agency an $11 billion cash
infusion while delaying controversial decisions on closing post offices
and ending Saturday delivery.”

Now, you can add another dead-beat, inefficient entity to the ledger of
irresponsible, incompetent organizations surviving on the government’s
(READ: Tax Payer) dole. In fact, ELEVEN BILLION DOLLARS WORTH…
Latest figures show the post office is 12 BILLION dollars in debt with a now
projected debt of 21 BILLION– not 18 Billion by 2016.

__________________________________________________________

Neither snow, sleet or rain can usually stop postal carriers from
delivering the U.S. mail, but critical financial difficulties certainly could.

Now staring straight down the barrel of a projected 18.2 BILLION
dollar loss, the United States Postal Service is seeking approval
to increase the price of a first-class stamp to $0.50 cents, up from
the current $0.45, to try and stave off the inevitable bail out.

Suffering from internal inorganization and fairly inefficient operational
methods with some very antiquated and restrictive governmental
regulations, first-class mail volume has fallen 20% since its peak in
2006 along with a 22% decline in overall mail handling volume since 2007.

usps financial chart

usps financial chart

A key measure shown in the chart above, is the total expense column.
As revenues fell expenses significantly increased, which only serves
to highlight the ongoing inefficiencies within the postal service.
Particularly alarming are the large jumps in the expenses to revenues
from 2009 to 2011.

E-R Spread

E-R Spread

Revenue to Expense mean loss 2006-2011:

  • -$4.28 billion

Aggregate revenue loss 2006-2011:

  • -$5.1 billion

Year-over-Year mean debt 2006-2011:

  • -$2.42 billion

Increase of debt 2006-2011:

  • 83%

While these deficiencies certainly contribute to the continual losses,
it is also partly due from not adapting very well to the more recent
electronic and techno media revolution. The resulting drop off in usage
from 2009-2008 had netted a minus $7 billion dollar drop in revenue.

bill-payment graph

bill-payment graph

Couple these inefficiencies with over paid management, often
problematic unions and so forth and one can see why the post office
is one of the more mismanaged quasi-governmental agencies in the U.S.
It is public knowledge that the postal service has been running huge
deficits for many years now and its viability is in serious question.

In addition to the stamp rate hike, the USPS will be taking further steps
to reduce the massive short-fall of income. This would include cutting
approximately 150k jobs, ending Saturday service and closing up
to 3,500 facilities.

The suggestion of a fully privatized postal system has been brought up
more than ever over the past few years and now in more recent months
and rightly so. But question remains, will the price hikes and cuts be
effective enough to ensure the longevity and sustainability of the postal
service as it exists, without tax-payer intervention…

Well, when I originally published this back in February, I was thinking
that perhaps the debacle that the USPS is, would be able to hold off on
bleeding the tax payer for money.

But two months later, the said  Tax-Payer intervention comes to fruition.
My question is; when will the next bail-out occur and how much more tax payer
money will the postal service steal from the tax paying public?

15 BILLION? 20 BILLION? Does it even matter anymore?

After all, B-B-B- Benny and the Fed will just “Print” up some more of our
Fiat currency to sustain any and all that the government deems necessary.
Never mind that your grandchildren will be on the hook for the insurmountable
debt obligations, for generations to come…

Advertisements

Consumer Inflation (Food & Fuel)

By DataAnalytics

A brief report on the latest purported inflation figures.

As if under some giant slumber, the ‘public’ was given the standard
rhetorical tripe on monthly inflation figures today from the BLS.

Amazingly, CPI-U barley rose a half a percent, in fact it ‘printed’ at
0.4%! Now considering more than half the population are most likely
‘asleep at the wheel’ this report deserves a double-take, even from the
most inept, reality-TV, stupor-induced American.

If you buy groceries and drive a vehicle, you must realize
(at least we hope so) that it is costing you much, much more to
feed you and your family and fill up the old gas tank.

How much more? Well for gasoline, the national average per gallon
is now at $3.83, up from $3.54 a year ago. That’s an 8.1% Rise.
How about from last month? Prices from February are up a hefty 12%.
But yet, the BLS proclaims that the ‘official’ measure of inflation has
only risen 0.4%. How can that be? Simple, one word. Deception.

gas price chart

How about food prices? Well let’s take a closer look at the cost of food
commodities from January 2012 back to January 2011. Meat, Poultry,
Fish and eggs are up on a weighted basis of 7.21% from a year ago.
Dairy and related dairy (cheeses, yogurts, etc) have increased 9% since
last year, while Cereal and Bakery products are up 5.25% from January ’11.

cereal meat eggs

Can’t live without that morning cup of home brewed Coffee? (me neither)
Well, roasted coffee prices have soared a whopping 16.85% from January 2011.
The only ‘good’ news, is that Fruits and Vegetables have actually
dropped about a half a percent, 06% to be exact.

coffee & veg

So while the government and B-B-B- Benny and Fed tout virtually no
to little inflation, there are some of us, who understand that this simply
is NOT true. The government is playing a game, a dangerous game at that.
Manipulating, doctoring and fabricating numbers and figures in order to
‘show’ that Central Bank intervention is working. (which we know is a failure)

The BLS has truly become a Ministry of Propaganda for the government.
No longer an agency of credibility and non-partisan reporting. Engaged
in a campaign of utter and sheer deceit on jobs data and inflation.
Making a mockery of the Statistical arm of academics and public trust.

Crony Capitalism or Corporatism by any other name…

Via Bill Moyers


Moyers & Company
explores the tight connection between Wall Street
and the White House with David Stockman, former budget director
for President Reagan.

Stockman speaks candidly with Moyers about how money dominates
politics, distorting free markets and endangering democracy.
“As a result,” Stockman says, “we have neither capitalism nor democracy.
We have crony capitalism.” Or Corporatism.

 

The Engineered Market and the Doctored Unemployment Rate

Friday, March 2nd, 2012

Short interview with Mark Leibovit of VRGoldletter.com, who speaks with
NBR’s Tom Hudson about the Fed’s manipulations, the engineered stock
market and the Doctored Unemployment Rate.

Video segment is from NBR with Tom Hudson. Full Transcript.

 

 

” My sense is not as optimistic. I don’t believe the figures
that we’ve been getting from the government.”

“There’s a lot of talk about the employment numbers, we know those
have been doctored up…”

Ron Paul Grills Bernanke at the Financial Services Hearing

Financial Services Hearing Highlights February 29, 2012

Congressman Ron Paul ‘asks’ Fed Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke a series
of rapid questions about Fiat Currency, Silver and Inflation.

Quote of the highlight is;
…”that’s why they (the American people) Lose trust in government.”
Referring to the BS Inflation rate of 2%-3%. This portion of the clip is priceless.

 

A Planned Economy for the 1%

From   on Feb 25, 2012

Michael Hudson: All economies have a certain amount of planning,
the question is, for whom?

 

Gasoline Prices Soaring Again

By DataAnalytics

Monthly Gasoline prices SPIKE one more time.

Now $3.65 per gallon (2/24). THAT’S THREE DOLLARS SIXTY FIVE CENTS.
Up $0.08 cents within the week. So far gas has RISEN from $3.23 to $3.65
per gallon just since January.

(2/20)
The average pump price of regular gasoline in the U.S. has
now risen to $3.57
from a month ago at $3.385 p/gal., and
up from $3.171 p/gal., just a year ago. A hefty 12.6% rise.

Price Chart
Here is what the main stream media, the Street and the
department of energy are reporting:

Both Brent and WTI are trading well above $100 per Barrel.

WTI   Brent

The burning question is why.

Here are the corporate owned media ‘talking-points’:

  • Geo-political tensions
  • Possibility of supply interruptions
  • Decreased crude supply from Nigeria and Libya.
  • Decreased capacity from Cushing/Midwestern refinery’s
  • Higher demand from India & China

Nigerian production

 

In turn, this is what investment firms and traders use as
a so-called “inflection point” or “trigger” to artificially drive
prices up, of both crude oil and retail gasoline.

However, here are a number of facts uncovered by DataAnalytics.

Most of the previously lost Libyan production is back to
750-800K/per day.

Nigerian production of approx., 2 mb/per day has been relatively
stable for the past 15 months.

The supposed Geo-political issues in the middle east have been
on-going for the past 40+ years. This is nothing new.

The prospect of supply being disrupted is slight.

U.S. Gasoline demand is at its lowest in 17 years.

E.U. Gasoline demand lowest in a decade

  • The level of supply is elevated
  • The level of demand has decreased

Gasoline supply has increased 9.7% from January.
Refinery utilization has declined from 85.6% to 84%
per day or only 0.4% which equates to -218K per day.
(this is basically a negligible amount)

Other than geo-political rhetoric and wild, unregulated
speculation, the mostly normal and broadly acceptable model
of demand and supply, based on consumption, appears to have
no place in the current price  ‘controls’ established by Wall Street,
OPEC and supposed government regulations.

The fact is that the current and wild speculation is unfounded
and is in the process of creating a gasoline bubble. Just last week,
traders bought 90 million barrels of futures contracts for themselves.

A major consequence of course is increased consumer inflation
and the further erosion of discretionary income and spending.

The most perilous potential result could be a Double-Dip Recession.
The bottom line is that the average consumer will suffer the
most, while only a very select will benefit and benefit enormously.

When supply is up and demand is down, but prices keep rising,
it does not take a PhD to figure out the causation. Which is
neither one of a geo-political, mechanical or physical supply issue.
In short, it is simply the underlying ambition of unreasonable profit,
by baseless speculation, at the great expense of the consuming public.

We are working on a more in-depth story regarding crude oil
and gasoline commodities. Stay tuned.